Yukon Election: Expectations vs. Reality

So, as promised, I will do a post-mortem of the predictions for the Yukon General Election. The results were not all that accurately predicted by my algorithm, but I’m not surprised – the last poll done on the election was nine months ago.

Expectations:
13 Liberal
3 NDP
1 Yukon

Reality:
11 Liberal
6 Yukon
2 NDP

I also did not have the right amount of seats predicted. If I did, then it would’ve been 15 Liberal, 3 NDP, and 1 Yukon.

The only thing that it predicted accurately was the NDP seat total. However, it totally underestimated the incumbency advantage of the Yukon Party.

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Yukon Election: Expectations vs. Reality

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