Hello folks, it’s that time – the morning of the election, when I deliver my final seat projection.
Winnipeg: 20-25 Progressive Conservative, 6-8 New Democratic, 1-5 Liberal, 1-2 Green
Not Winnipeg: 22 Progressive Conservative, 0 New Democratic, 0 Liberal, 0 Green
Total: 42-47 Progressive Conservative, 6-8 New Democratic, 1-5 Liberal, 1-2 Green
With this final projection, it appears all but certain that the Progressive Conservatives will be forming a strong government, taking all the seats outside of Winnipeg, and the lion’s share of seats within Winnipeg. The NDP will form the Official Opposition, but depending on how well the NDP and PC’s do, that status may be fragile. The Greens are set to pick up 1 or 2 seats in Winnipeg according to my model, owing to the rise in popularity for the party.