Saskatchewan General Election: Projection vs. Reality

Well, the Saskatchewan general election happened. Brad Wall’s Saskatchewan Party got 51 seats, and the NDP got 10. This is well within my projected band of 48-53 SK party seats and 8-13 NDP seats.

Here is the projection vs. the actual result:
Regina
Projected: 7-9 Saskatchewan Party, 3-5 New Democratic, 0 Liberal, 0 Green
Actual: 8 Saskatchewan Party, 4 New Democratic, 0 Liberal, 0 Green
Saskatoon
Projected: 8-12 Saskatchewan Party, 2-6 New Democratic, 0 Liberal, 0 Green
Actual: 11 Saskatchewan Party, 3 New Democratic, 0 Liberal, 0 Green
Rest of Saskatchewan:
Projected: 33 Saskatchewan Party, 2 New Democratic, 0 Liberal, 0 Green
Actual: 32 Saskatchewan Party, 3 New Democratic, 0 Liberal, 0 Green
Total
Projected: 48-53 Saskatchewan Party, 8-13 New Democratic, 0 Liberal, 0 Green
Actual: 51 Saskatchewan Party, 10 New Democratic, 0 Liberal, 0 Green

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Saskatchewan General Election: Projection vs. Reality

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