Final Projection: Saskatchewan Provincial Election, 2016

Election day is finally upon us in Saskatchewan. Throughout the campaign, the Saskatchewan Party has had large leads on its opponent, the New Democratic Party. Barring a major upset, it is almost certain that they will form government for a third time.

Here is the final seat projection:
Regina: 7-9 Saskatchewan Party, 3-5 New Democratic, 0 Liberal, 0 Green
Saskatoon: 8-12 Saskatchewan Party, 2-6 New Democratic, 0 Liberal, 0 Green
Rest of Saskatchewan: 33 Saskatchewan Party, 2 New Democratic, 0 Liberal, 0 Green
Total: 48-53 Saskatchewan Party, 8-13 New Democratic, 0 Liberal, 0 Green

If these numbers are to be trusted, it is certain that the Saskatchewan Party will not only form government, but it will be able to retain the proportion of seats that it won in 2011. The NDP could make anywhere from slight declines to slight gains, which may make a difference in whether Cam Broten stays the leader for another cycle or not. The Liberals and Greens are not projected to win seats this election cycle, though the Liberals appear to have set themselves up to win a seat or two next time. The Greens have some more work to do.

 

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Final Projection: Saskatchewan Provincial Election, 2016

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