Seat Projection: CRA Atlantic Canada Polls, March 11, 2016

Corporate Research Associates has done its quarterly polls of provincial politics in Atlantic Canada. Last quarter, each province was projected to have a Liberal landslide.

Here is this quarter’s projection for New Brunswick:
45% Liberal (35 seats, -9)
27% Progressive Conservative (9 seats, +5)
18% New Democratic (4 seats, +3)
8% Green (1 seat, +1)
2% People’s Alliance (0 seats)

Here is this quarter’s projection for Newfoundland and Labrador:
66% Liberal (38 seats, +7)
23% Progressive Conservative (2 seats, -5)
11% New Democratic (0 seats, -2)
0% Green (0 seats, =)

Here is this quarter’s projection for Nova Scotia:
56% Liberal (45 seats, -2)
23% Progressive Conservative (4 seats, +2)
16% New Democratic (2 seats, =)
5% Green (0 seats, =)

Here is this quarter’s projection for Prince Edward Island:
61% Liberal (26 seats, =)
19% Progressive Conservative (1 seat, =)
11% Green (0 seats, =)
9% New Democratic (0 seats, =)

*In the parentheses are changes from last quarter for NB, NS, and PEI, and change from last election for NL.

With these numbers, it appears for 3 of the 4 provinces, there would still be giant liberal landslides if the election were held tomorrow. The only anomaly is New Brunswick, where all opposition parties have gained at the Liberals’ expense.

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Seat Projection: CRA Atlantic Canada Polls, March 11, 2016

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