Seat Projection: Mainstreet Manitoba Poll, February 23, 2016

Mainstreet has come out with a new poll on the political situation in Manitoba. The Progressive Conservatives remain in a wide lead with 52%. It seems that the Liberals are now slightly edging out the NDP for second though, taking 23% to the NDP’s 21%. The Greens have dipped from 9% to 6%.

Here is the seat projection using those numbers:
Winnipeg: 43% Progressive Conservative (22 seats), 25% New Democratic (7 seats), 24% Liberal (6 seats), 8% Green (0 seats)
Not Winnipeg: 60% Progressive Conservative (20 seats), 21% Liberal (2 seats), 15% New Democratic (0 seats), 4% Green (0 seats)
Total: 52% Progressive Conservative (42 seats), 23% Liberal (8 seats), 21% New Democratic (7 seats), 6% Green (0 seats)

With these numbers, the Progressive Conservatives have dipped 3 seats to 42. However, this is still a landslide. The Liberals have moved into second place with 8 seats, but this status is vulnerable until they pull ahead of the NDP in Winnipeg. The Greens are now projected to continue to be shut out of the legislature.

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Seat Projection: Mainstreet Manitoba Poll, February 23, 2016

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