Seat Projection: Leger Marketing Quebec Poll, February 3, 2016

It seems according to the latest Leger Marketing poll that the Quebec partisan landscape has largely reset to its 2014 levels. The Liberals have 36%, the Parti Quebecois has 29%, the CAQ has 21%, and QS has been brought down to 10%.

Here is the seat projection using the model:
Montreal: 42% Liberal (36 seats), 28% Parti Quebecois (9 seats), 15% Coalition Avenir Quebec (2 seats), 10% Quebec Solidaire (2 seats)
Quebec City: 43% Liberal (9 seats), 21% Coalition Avenir Quebec (2 seats), 17% Parti Quebecois (0 seats), 11% Quebec Solidaire (0 seats)
Regions of Quebec: 34% Parti Quebecois (30 seats), 27% Liberal (18 seats), 27% Coalition Avenir Quebec (14 seats), 9% Quebec Solidaire (3 seats)
Total: 36% Liberal (63 seats), 29% Parti Quebecois (39 seats), 21% Coalition Avenir Quebec (18 seats), 10% Quebec Solidaire (5 seats)

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Seat Projection: Leger Marketing Quebec Poll, February 3, 2016

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