It’s been an absolute roller-coaster for this federal election. This campaign went through four distinct phases in who was a contender for government. At first, it was between the NDP and the Conservatives, with the Liberals as kingmaker. Then it was a tight three-way race. Then, it was the Liberals and Conservatives neck-and-neck. Finally, the Liberals have pulled out a huge lead.
Here is the final projection:
British Columbia: 9-26 Conservative, 8-25 Liberal, 6-11 NDP, 0-4 Green
Prairies: Nanos: 43-44 Conservative, 13-14 Liberal, 4-6 New Democratic, 0 Green
Ontario: Nanos: 77-82 Liberal, 31-33 Conservative, 6-12 New Democratic, 0-3 Green
Quebec: Nanos: 20-44 Liberal, 13-35 New Democratic, 9-18 Bloc Quebecois, 0-2 Green
Atlantic Canada: Nanos: 24-28 Liberal, 2-5 Conservative, 2-3 New Democratic, 0 Green
Total: Nanos: 146-185 Liberal, 103-116 Conservative, 39-60 New Democratic, 9-18 Bloc Quebecois, 0-7 Green
As the projection shows, if it’s right, then the Liberals will either be forming a minority or a majority government tonight. The Conservatives will be in the Official Opposition after nine years of government. The NDP will be relegated back to third party status after four years in Opposition. The Bloc Quebecois will resurge, not to its former glory days, but to a larger seat count than they have. The Greens have the potential to stay where they are or expand.