Seat Projections: Other Polls, October 5-9, 2015

This week, polls other than the daily trackers by Nanos and EKOS have come out. Here are the seat projections for those polls.

Ipsos Reid October 5 poll*:
British Columbia: 34% New Democratic (14 seats), 31% Conservative (15 seats), 28% Liberal (12 seats), 7% Green (1 seat)
Alberta: 51% Conservative (27 seats), 28% Liberal (5 seats), 17% New Democratic (2 seats), 4% Green (0 seats)
Saskatchewan/Manitoba: 39% Conservative (14 seats), 36% Liberal (10 seats), 21% New Democratic (4 seats), 4% Green (0 seats)
Ontario: 38% Liberal (46 seats), 35% Conservative (55 seats), 24% New Democratic (19 seats), 3% Green (1 seat)
Quebec: 29% New Democratic (36 seats), 23% Bloc Quebecois (14 seats), 23% Liberal (14 seats), 23% Conservative (14 seats), 2% Green (0 seats)
Atlantic Canada: 46% Liberal (22 seats), 26% Conservative (6 seats), 26% New Democratic (4 seats), 2% Green (0 seats)
Total: 33% Conservative (133 seats), 32% Liberal (109 seats), 26% New Democratic (80 seats), 5% Bloc Quebecois (14 seats), 3% Green (2 seats)

Abacus Data October 6 poll*:
British Columbia: 37% Conservative (25 seats), 29% Liberal (10 seats), 25% New Democratic (7 seats), 7% Green (0 seats)
Alberta: 57% Conservative (31 seats), 22% Liberal (2 seats), 15% New Democratic (1 seat), 4% Green (0 seats)
Saskatchewan/Manitoba: 45% Conservative (20 seats), 29% Liberal (5 seats), 22% New Democratic (3 seats), 4% Green (0 seats)
Ontario: 39% Liberal (61 seats), 32% Conservative (39 seats), 23% New Democratic (19 seats), 5% Green (2 seats)
Quebec: 30% New Democratic (39 seats), 23% Liberal (14 seats), 22% Conservative (14 seats), 18% Bloc Quebecois (9 seats), 5% Green (2 seats)
Atlantic Canada: 46% Liberal (24 seats), 29% New Democratic (5 seats), 21% Conservative (3 seats), 3% Green (0 seats)
Total: 33% Conservative (134 seats), 32% Liberal (116 seats), 24% New Democratic (75 seats), 5% Bloc Quebecois (9 seats), 3% Green (4 seats)

Forum October 6 poll*:
British Columbia: 33% Liberal (14 seats), 31% New Democratic (13 seats), 30% Conservative (14 seats), 5% Green (1 seat)
Alberta: 52% Conservative (23 seats), 26% Liberal (8 seats), 19% New Democratic (3 seats), 3% Green (0 seats)
Saskatchewan/Manitoba: 40% Liberal (14 seats), 35% Conservative (10 seats), 24% New Democratic (4 seats), 1% Green (0 seats)
Ontario: 38% Liberal (46 seats), 35% Conservative (55 seats), 23% New Democratic (19 seats), 3% Green (1 seat)
Quebec: 34% New Democratic (46 seats), 24% Liberal (12 seats), 23% Conservative (12 seats), 16% Bloc Quebecois (8 seats), 2% Green (0 seats)
Atlantic Canada: 62% Liberal (29 seats), 19% Conservative (2 seats), 17% New Democratic (1 seat), 1% Green (0 seats)
Total: 35% Liberal (123 seats), 31% Conservative (118 seats), 26% New Democratic (87 seats), 4% Bloc Quebecois (8 seats), 3% Green (2 seats)

Leger Marketing October 7 poll*:
British Columbia: 37% Liberal (24 seats), 26% New Democratic (7 seats), 24% Conservative (8 seats), 12% Green (3 seats)
Alberta: 58% Conservative (30 seats), 21% Liberal (2 seats), 18% New Democratic (2 seats), 4% Green (0 seats)
Saskatchewan/Manitoba: 35% Conservative (12 seats), 35% Liberal (10 seats), 26% New Democratic (6 seats), 3% Green (0 seats0
Ontario: 37% Liberal (45 seats), 34% Conservative (55 seats), 24% New Democratic (19 seats), 4% Green (2 seats)
Quebec: 28% New Democratic (30 seats), 28% Liberal (22 seats), 23% Bloc Quebecois (14 seats), 20% Conservative (12 seats), 1% Green (0 seats)
Atlantic Canada: 51% Liberal (25 seats), 26% New Democratic (4 seats), 18% Conservative (3 seats), 3% Green (0 seats)
Total: 34% Liberal (128 seats), 30% Conservative (122 seats), 25% New Democratic (69 seats), 6% Bloc Quebecois (14 seats), 4% Green (5 seats)

Mainstreet Research October 7 poll*:
British Columbia: 33% Conservative (19 seats), 29% New Democratic (12 seats), 28% Liberal (9 seats), 10% Green (2 seats)
Alberta: 56% Conservative (28 seats), 27% Liberal (5 seats), 13% New Democratic (1 seat), 4% Green (0 seats)
Saskatchewan: 47% Conservative (10 seats), 29% New Democratic (3 seats), 20% Liberal (1 seat), 4% Green (0 seats)
Manitoba: 47% Conservative (10 seats), 31% Liberal (3 seats), 19% New Democratic (1 seat), 3% Green (0 seats)
Ontario: 44% Liberal (68 seats), 37% Conservative (45 seats), 14% New Democratic (6 seats), 5% Green (2 seats)
Quebec: 27% Conservative (21 seats), 27% Liberal (21 seats), 25% New Democratic (23 seats), 17% Bloc Quebecois (11 seats), 4% Green (2 seats)
Atlantic Canada: 42% Liberal (20 seats), 28% New Democratic (6 seats), 25% Conservative (6 seats), 6% Green (0 seats)
Total: 36% Conservative (141 seats), 35% Liberal (127 seats), 20% New Democratic (53 seats), 5% Green (6 seats), 4% Bloc Quebecois (11 seats)

Innovative Research October 8 poll*:
British Columbia: 31% Conservative (15 seats), 30% New Democratic (13 seats), 29% Liberal (12 seats), 9% Green (2 seats)
Alberta: 47% Conservative (27 seats), 26% Liberal (4 seats), 19% New Democratic (3 seats), 6% Green (0 seats)
Saskatchewan/Manitoba: 37% Conservative (16 seats), 31% Liberal (7 seats), 26% New Democratic (5 seats), 5% Green (0 seats)
Ontario: 43% Liberal (76 seats), 31% Conservative (30 seats), 21% New Democratic (13 seats), 4% Green (2 seats)
Quebec: 29% New Democratic (33 seats), 26% Liberal (20 seats), 22% Bloc Quebecois (14 seats), 19% Conservative (10 seats), 3% Green (1 seat)
Atlantic Canada: 48% Liberal (23 seats), 23% New Democratic (4 seats), 22% Conservative (5 seats), 6% Green (0 seats)
Total: 35% Liberal (142 seats), 30% Conservative (105 seats), 24% New Democratic (72 seats), 5% Bloc Quebecois (14 seats), 5% Green (5 seats)

Angus Reid October 9 poll*:
British Columbia: 36% New Democratic (17 seats), 31% Conservative (13 seats), 29% Liberal (12 seats), 4% Green (0 seats)
Alberta: 59% Conservative (31 seats), 19% Liberal (2 seats), 16% New Democratic (1 seat), 5% Green (0 seats)
Saskatchewan/Manitoba: 46% Conservative (20 seats), 27% Liberal (5 seats), 24% New Democratic (3 seats), 2% Green (0 seats)
Ontario: 36% Conservative (57 seats), 36% Liberal (44 seats), 22% New Democratic (18 seats), 4% Green (2 seats)
Quebec: 31% New Democratic (33 seats), 27% Bloc Quebecois (21 seats), 24% Liberal (15 seats), 17% Conservative (9 seats), 1% Green (0 seats)
Atlantic Canada: 54% Liberal (25 seats), 25% Conservative (5 seats), 19% New Democratic (2 seats), 2% Green (0 seats)
Total: 33% Conservative (137 seats), 31% Liberal (103 seats), 25% New Democratic (75 seats), 6% Bloc Quebecois (21 seats), 3% Green (2 seats)

*Since Northern Canada was not polled, I will leave their seats with the same parties for the sake of simplicity.

Advertisements
Seat Projections: Other Polls, October 5-9, 2015

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s