Seat Projections: Abacus, Ipsos Reid, Forum Polls, September 27-29, 2015

There were other polls in the September 26-30 block that were not Nanos. Those were Abacus Data, Ipsos Reid, and Forum. Abacus shows a Conservative lead with 32%, the Liberals in second with 29%, and the NDP in third with 27%. Ipsos Reid shows a virtual tie between the Liberals and Conservatives with 33% and 32%, respectively, and the NDP in third with 27%. Forum shows a wide Conservative lead with 34%, with the NDP and Liberals virtually tied for second at 28% and 27%, respectively.

Here is the seat projection for the Abacus Data poll*:
British Columbia: 32% Conservative (15 seats), 30% Liberal (13 seats), 29% New Democratic (12 seats), 8% Green (2 seats)
Alberta: 54% Conservative (30 seats), 20% Liberal (2 seats), 20% New Democratic (2 seats), 4% Green (0 seats)
Saskatchewan/Manitoba: 37% Conservative (14 seats), 33% New Democratic (9 seats), 25% Liberal (5 seats), 5% Green (0 seats)
Ontario: 36% Conservative (58 seats), 33% Liberal (40 seats), 26% New Democratic (21 seats), 4% Green (2 seats)
Quebec: 30% New Democratic (38 seats), 24% Liberal (15 seats), 21% Conservative (13 seats), 20% Bloc Quebecois (10 seats), 5% Green (2 seats)
Atlantic Canada: 45% Liberal (22 seats), 29% New Democratic (6 seats), 18% Conservative (4 seats), 7% Green (0 seats)
Total: 32% Conservative (136 seats), 29% Liberal (97 seats), 27% New Democratic (89 seats), 5% Bloc Quebecois (10 seats), 5% Green (6 seats)

Here is the seat projection for the Ipsos Reid poll*:
British Columbia: 35% Liberal (21 seats), 30% Conservative (10 seats), 27% New Democratic (9 seats), 8% Green (2 seats)
Alberta: 50% Conservative (28 seats), 26% Liberal (4 seats), 19% New Democratic (2 seats), 2% Green (0 seats)
Saskatchewan/Manitoba: 38% Conservative (14 seats), 30% Liberal (7 seats), 30% New Democratic (7 seats), 2% Green (0 seats)
Ontario: 35% Conservative (49 seats), 34% Liberal (38 seats), 27% New Democratic (32 seats), 4% Green (2 seats)
Toronto: 34% New Democratic (10 seats), 33% Liberal (7 seats), 28% Conservative (5 seats), 4% Green (0 seats)
905: 43% Conservative (20 seats), 36% Liberal (9 seats), 19% New Democratic (3 seats), 3% Green (0 seats)
Rest of Ontario: 33% Conservative (24 seats), 33% Liberal (22 seats), 29% New Democratic (19 seats), 5% Green (2 seats)
Quebec: 34% New Democratic (46 seats), 24% Liberal (12 seats), 21% Conservative (11 seats), 18% Bloc Quebecois (9 seats), 2% Green (0 seats)
Atlantic Canada: 52% Liberal (25 seats), 24% Conservative (5 seats), 19% New Democratic (2 seats), 3% Green (0 seats)
Total: 33% Liberal (107 seats), 32% Conservative (119 seats), 27% New Democratic (99 seats), 4% Bloc Quebecois (9 seats), 4% Green (4 seats)

Here is the seat projection for the Forum poll*:
British Columbia: 41% New Democratic (28 seats), 31% Conservative (10 seats), 21% Liberal (4 seats), 7% Green (0 seats)
Alberta: 60% Conservative (31 seats), 21% New Democratic (2 seats), 17% Liberal (1 seat), 2% Green (0 seats)
Saskatchewan/Manitoba: 41% Conservative (18 seats), 26% Liberal (5 seats), 26% New Democratic (5 seats), 6% Green (0 seats)
Ontario: 34% Conservative (53 seats), 33% Liberal (40 seats), 25% New Democratic (24 seats), 7% Green (4 seats)
Quebec: 32% New Democratic (41 seats), 24% Conservative (15 seats), 21% Liberal (11 seats), 19% Bloc Quebecois (10 seats), 3% Green (1 seat)
Atlantic Canada: 41% Liberal (20 seats), 28% New Democratic (6 seats), 25% Conservative (6 seats), 6% Green (0 seats)
Total: 34% Conservative (135 seats), 28% New Democratic (107 seats), 27% Liberal (81 seats), 5% Bloc Quebecois (10 seats), 5% Green (5 seats)

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Seat Projections: Abacus, Ipsos Reid, Forum Polls, September 27-29, 2015

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